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You are in Geoinformatics - Creative Commons :: Introduction to Earth System Science Modelling :: Classes 2017
CST-323: Introduction to Earth System Modelling (INPE Course 2017)
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Lectures: Mondays and Thursdays, 14h00-16h30, Room 12, 1st floor, CCST building
Classes
| Title | Models | Scenarios | Concepts | Exercises |
1 | Introduction | | | | |
| Introduction | | | | |
2 | Modelling Programming Basics | | | | |
| Lua for TerraME | Lua scripts | | nil, number, boolean, string, table, function | Lua exercises |
3 | System Dynamics | | | | |
| Systems Theory | | | | |
| Systems Dynamics | Tub (sysdyn) | tub-scenarios (sysdyn) | Model, Event, Timer, Chart | Water in the Dam |
| Feedbacks | Coffee, PopulationGrowth (sysdyn) | coffee-scenarios, population-scenarios-1, population-scenarios-2 (sysdyn) | Environment, instance of Model | |
| Water Flows in Mono Lake | Mono Lake Code in TerraME | | | |
| Daisyworld | Daisyworld model | | | |
4 | Celular Automata | | | | |
| Cellular Automata | Life (ca) | | Cell, CellularSpace, Neighborhood, Map, Random | |
| Fire in the Forest | Fire (ca) | | | Fire in the Forest |
5 | Spatial Models | | | | |
| Runoff | Runoff (terralib) | | | |
| Geospatial data | | | Project, Layer (terralib) | |
| Deforestation | deforestation.zip | | Trajectory | Deforestation, database |
6 | Climate Change Scenarios | | | | |
| Kaya Identity | | | |
| Methane vs. CO2 | | | | |
7 | Climate models | | | | |
Additional Reading
Papers for Final Projects
The final project consists of an implementation and discussion of one of the models available
here
or the following papers.
| S. G. Berjak, J. W. Hearne (2002) An improved cellular automaton model for simulating fire in a spatially heterogeneous Savanna system. Ecological Modelling 148(2):133–15 |
| G.Ch Sirakoulis, I. Karafyllidis, A. Thanailakis (2000) A cellular automaton model for the effects of population movement and vaccination on epidemic propagation. Ecological Modelling 133(3): 209–223 |
| C. Beauchemina, J. Samuelb, J. Tuszynskia (2005) A simple cellular automaton model for influenza A viral infections. Journal of Theoretical Biology 232(2) 223–234 |
| Medeiros, L. C., Castilho, C. A. R., Braga, C., de Souza, W. V., Regis, L., Monteiro, A. M. V. (2011). Modeling the dynamic transmission of dengue fever: investigating disease persistence. PLOS neglected tropical diseases, 5(1), e942. |
| M Janssen and N.D. Rollins (2012). Evolution of cooperation in asymmetric commons dilemmas. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 81: 220-229. Available in CoMSES Computational Model Library). |
| S. Hoya White, A. Martín del Rey, G. Rodríguez Sánchez(2007), Modeling epidemics using cellular automata. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 186(1):193-202 |
| Almeida, Rodolfo Maduro, and Elbert EN Macau. "Stochastic cellular automata model for wildland fire spread dynamics." Journal of Physics: Conference Series. Vol. 285. No. 1. IOP Publishing, 2011. |
| Fisch, Robert, Janko Gravner, and David Griffeath. "Threshold-range scaling of excitable cellular automata." Statistics and Computing 1.1 (1991): 23-39. |
| Fisch, Robert. "Clustering in the one-dimensional three-color cyclic cellular automaton." The Annals of Probability (1992): 1528-1548. |
| Li, Wentian. "Complex patterns generated by next nearest neighbors cellular automata." Computers & Graphics 13.4 (1989): 531-537. |
| Chate, H. & Manneville, P. (1990). Criticality in cellular automata. Physica D (45), 122-135. |
| Li, W., Packard, N., & Langton, C. (1990). Transition Phenomena in Cellular Automata Rule Space. Physica D (45), 77-94. |
| Belousov–Zhabotinsky reaction |
| Colasanti, R. L., R. Hunt, and L. Watrud. “A simple cellular automaton model for high-level vegetation dynamics.” Ecological Modelling 203.3 (2007): 363-374. |
| Scherer A. & McLean A., (2002) Mathematical models of vaccination, British Medical Bulletin 2002;62 187-199. |
Papers for Final Projects: Secondary Choices
You can also choose from the following papers if you did not find a suitable paper in the above list.
| S Bandini, F Celada, S Manzoni, G Vizzari (2007). Modelling the immune system: the case of situated cellular agents, Natural Computing, 6(1):19-32. |
| S. Yassemi, S. Dragićevića, M. Schmidt(2008), Design and implementation of an integrated GIS-based cellular automata model to characterize forest fire behaviour
, Ecological Modelling, 210(1–2), 71–84 |
| Araujo and Celani (20166), Exploring Weaire-Phelan through Cellular Automata: A proposal for a structural variance-producing engine |